Sport Picks
Woking vs Southampton U21
England
National League Cup Kingfield Stadium, Woking 
Match Events
29'
29'
Kelly J.
33'
33'
Okonola A.
Own Goal
46'
46'
Sub
Hinds T. In: Drewe A.
Out: Hinds T.
AI Match Summary
Woking in this National League Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Woking lately — more wins on the board than Southampton U21.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Woking have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Woking, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Woking Clean Sheet 16%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Woking | Southampton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2025 National League Cup
Woking vs Southampton U21
2:1
Nov 5, 2024 National League Cup
Woking vs Southampton U21
5:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Woking Compare
Top Goalscorer Kelly J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Southampton U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Sillah Dibaga S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Woking 36 / 100
Southampton U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Woking Southampton U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southampton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Woking's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Southampton U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Woking VS Southampton U21
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Woking
(Home) 25 Jul
Woking
0 : 2 Reading
21 Jul
Braintree
1 : 0 Woking
14 Jul
Woking
1 : 2 Portsmouth
11 Jul
Sholing
1 : 2 Woking
25 Apr
Woking
0 : 1 Halifax
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Woking
0 : 2 Reading
14 Jul
Woking
1 : 2 Portsmouth
25 Apr
Woking
0 : 1 Halifax
14 Apr
Woking
0 : 0 Solihull Moors
11 Apr
Woking
5 : 1 Morecambe
Page 1 of 3
Southampton U21
(Away) 01 Aug
Sutton
3 : 2 Southampton U21
18 Jul
Maidenhead
1 : 3 Southampton U21
24 Apr
Southampton U21
3 : 4 Aston Villa U21
12 Apr
Stoke City U21
1 : 0 Southampton U21
20 Mar
Southampton U21
2 : 1 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Sutton
3 : 2 Southampton U21
18 Jul
Maidenhead
1 : 3 Southampton U21
12 Apr
Stoke City U21
1 : 0 Southampton U21
13 Mar
Manchester United U21
2 : 1 Southampton U21
06 Mar
Nottingham U21
1 : 2 Southampton U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamworth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Brackley | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Rochdale | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 7 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 8 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Braintree | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
| 8 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Truro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Sutton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)
